Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel rates

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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its for the 3rd time this year due to falling prices and likewise decreased its expected sales volumes, sending out the business’s share price down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the cost of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.

Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had actually forecasted given that the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.

“Renewable products’ prices have actually been negatively affected by a significant decline in (the) diesel cost throughout the third quarter,” Neste stated in a declaration.

“At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have actually not decreased and sustainable product market value premiums have actually stayed weak,” the business included.

Industry executives and analysts have said quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste’s guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.

Neste’s share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki