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Indonesia prepares to execute B40 in January
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Because case, prices may rally 10%-15% in Jan-March, Mielke says
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B40 will [require extra](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159346/mission-newenergy-delivers-maiden-biodiesel-production-to-global-oil-major-24476.html) 3 mln lots feedstock, GAPKI states
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Malaysia palm oil standard at greatest because mid-2022
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India may withdraw import tax hike in the middle of inflation, Mistry says
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(Adds analyst remarks, updates Malaysia's palm oil standard price)
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By Bernadette Christina
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NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Indonesia's [palm oil](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html) output is [forecast](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) to recuperate in 2025 after an expected drop this year, however costs are [anticipated](https://forest500.org/rankings/companies/mission-newenergy-limited) to remain raised due to scheduled expansion of the nation's [biodiesel](https://www.intelligentinvestor.com.au/shares/asx-mbt/mission-newenergy-limited/share-price) mandate, market experts said.
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The palm oil standard rate in Malaysia has increased more than 35% this year, raised by slow output and [Indonesia's](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) plan to increase the obligatory domestic [biodiesel](https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/MNELF:US) mix to 40% in January from 35% now in an effort to reduce fuel imports.
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Palm oil output next year in top producer Indonesia is expected to recuperate by 1.5 million metric tons compared to an approximated drop of simply over a million tons this year, Julian McGill, handling director at Glenauk Economics, told the Indonesia Palm Oil on Friday.
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Thomas Mielke, head of [Hamburg-based](https://www.pinterest.com.au/missionnewenergy/) research study company Oil World, stated he expects Indonesia's palm oil production to increase by as much as 2 million loads next year after a 2.5 million load drop in 2024.
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While Indonesia's output is forecast to improve, provide from somewhere else and of other [vegetable oils](https://www.businessnews.com.au/Company/Mission-NewEnergy) is seen tightening.
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Palm oil output in neighbouring Malaysia is anticipated to dip a little next year after increasing by an estimated 1 million heaps in 2024.
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"We would require a recovery in palm in 2025 due to the fact that combined exports of soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils are declining," Mielke said.
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'FRIGHTENING' PRICE SURGE
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The cost rise in palm oil in the previous 7 weeks has been "frightening" for purchasers, Mielke said, adding that it would rally by 10%-15% in January-March if Indonesia enforces the so-called B40 policy.
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The [Indonesia Palm](https://www.zonebourse.com/cours/action/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-8557641/) Oil Association stated extra feedstock of around 3 million heaps will be needed for B40 execution, wearing down export supply.
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The existing palm oil premium has actually already caused palm to lose [market share](https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/m/0cqd_rb) versus other oils, Mielke included.
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[Malaysian palm](https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/MNELF:US) oil rates are seen trading at around $950 to $1,050 per metric lot in 2025, McGill of Glenauk approximated.
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Benchmark Malaysian palm oil touched 5,104 ringgit ($1,165.30) on Friday, the greatest given that mid-2022.
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"Sentiment right now is red-hot and very bullish, we have to take care," [stated Dorab](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) Mistry, director at Indian durable goods [company](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1463471/000165495419013063/R31.htm) Godrej [International](https://www.intelligentinvestor.com.au/shares/asx-mbt/mission-newenergy-limited/share-price).
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He anticipated the Malaysian price around 5,000 ringgit and above up until June 2025.
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Mielke and Mistry urged Indonesia to
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think about postponing
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B40 [execution](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html) on issue about its influence on food consumers.
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Meanwhile, Mistry [expected](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) top palm oil [importer](https://forest500.org/rankings/companies/mission-newenergy-limited) India to withdraw its
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import duty hike
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enforced from September after [elections](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159346/mission-newenergy-delivers-maiden-biodiesel-production-to-global-oil-major-24476.html) in the state of Maharashtra in November. ($1 = 4.3800 ringgit) ([Reporting](https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/m/0cqd_rb) by Bernadette Christina Munthe Writing by Fransiska Nangoy
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